Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 7.309815 8.532982 9.852985 11.378042 13.085914 14.934033 17.079477
2025-04-20 5.929567 7.540862 9.395183 11.668543 14.361045 17.428478 21.166380
2025-04-27 4.962710 6.792305 9.015147 11.876185 15.419664 19.621709 24.935120
2025-05-04 4.156961 6.086891 8.549604 11.858694 16.118629 21.344880 28.160054
2025-05-11 3.342284 5.236505 7.773707 11.327461 16.072813 22.081411 30.140803
2025-05-18 2.815065 4.693175 7.321683 11.141448 16.407030 23.257207 32.666909
2025-05-25 2.363152 4.189237 6.856695 10.872025 16.575423 24.183604 34.865019
2025-06-01 2.024863 3.806167 6.515249 10.728233 16.877711 25.267859 37.277660
2025-06-08 1.708226 3.410619 6.107917 10.441147 16.937894 25.997897 39.210446
2025-06-15 1.519971 3.200634 5.960217 10.518700 17.509686 27.438803 42.143974
2025-06-22 1.328404 2.956844 5.730756 10.444157 17.838489 28.532498 44.612546
2025-06-29 1.198087 2.805354 5.635473 10.566615 18.458118 30.052480 47.716133
2025-07-06 1.079443 2.661248 5.540953 10.684971 19.079497 31.603372 50.925856
2025-07-13 1.004856 2.593491 5.571625 11.007604 20.028590 33.663901 54.927482
2025-07-20 0.923314 2.499403 5.544505 11.226157 20.815453 35.500176 58.645159
2025-07-27 0.821942 2.347220 5.394387 11.218217 21.229017 36.775834 61.559735
2025-08-03 0.676981 2.072315 4.981860 10.713777 20.793847 36.721852 62.469911
2025-08-10 0.585832 1.906021 4.762691 10.537427 20.889310 37.484585 64.622432
2025-08-17 0.499083 1.733628 4.511676 10.280417 20.827820 37.987725 66.379376
2025-08-24 0.433544 1.602824 4.332464 10.143197 20.960919 38.797508 68.621779
2025-08-31 0.366197 1.452251 4.092949 9.868832 20.833359 39.172814 70.184400
2025-09-07 0.330768 1.385780 4.032781 9.943027 21.328485 40.576933 73.398563
2025-09-14 0.290185 1.294679 3.905875 9.871783 21.552421 41.533404 75.916512